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FROM:
Roundtable Discussion
Natural Gas Pundits Prognosticate

By Latayne C. Scott
for Office.com
(http://www.office.com/global/1,2724,401-13331,FF.html)

GMU's Kilpatrick: What, but Not When

Henry E. Kilpatrick, Jr., PhD, is a research fellow at The
Institute of Public Policy of George Mason University in
Fairfax, Va. A longtime observer of energy market
fluctuations, Kilpatrick is wary of industry tax credits and
any other subsidies for the industry, believing that "they do
more harm than good for the consumer and the industry in
the long run."

Kilpatrick also is cautious in his predictions for the industry,
and hedges his prognosticating bets on the future of gas
prices.

"If I were able to predict accurately, I'd be rich and famous
already," says Kilpatrick. "But it seems that all commodities
follow chaotic or complex cycles that cannot be accurately
predicted in the short run. The future of commodity prices
of most, if not all, resources including gas should be up,
barring a major recession since we have gone so long with
low prices."





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