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Henry E. Kilpatrick, Jr., PhD
Econpolicy
Arlington, VA 22207
(703) 509-5517
hkilpatr@juno.com


CONSULTING CAPABILITIES - ECONOMICS AND POLICY

Economic and policy analysis, including technology policy, regulatory economics, public utility regulation, dynamic competition and antitrust, industrial policy, international trade, energy economics, state and local tax policy, regional and urban policy. Statistical analysis, including econometrics and robust regression using statistical software. Technical support including expert witness testimony and benefit-cost analysis, proposal writing, seminars and teaching.

Rates and References Provided Upon Request


PROJECTS and EXPERIENCE

Research and papers for clients on issues such as regulatory treatment of fuel adjustment clauses, hedging and spot market electricity purchases, regulatory treatment of leasing vs ownership of certificated facilities, merger analysis, competition policy, statistical support and other regulatory matters.

Mediated a claim between a major oil company & its insurers.

Directed a regulatory analysis of the nationwide problem of disposal of used computers for a DOE contract.

Performed study of excise tax policy in several Midwestern states for a public policy research organization.

Provided expert testimony on Alaska North Slope natural gas prices to oil company client.

Provided statistical help to client involved in airline litigation.

16 years as staff economist for the Federal Energy Regulatory Commisssion. Testified as an expert witness on natural gas and oil pipeline issues.

PUBLICATIONS

"Complexity, Spontaneous Order, and Friedrich Hayek: Are Spontaneous Order and Complexity Essentially the Same Thing?" Complexity, 6.4 (March/April 2001), 16-20.

"Regulatory Issues, Pricing and Access to Public Utility Right-of-Way." White paper for the National Academy of Sciences Broadband Committee study on "The Last Mile," July 2000.

"Public Utilities During the New Deal." Section in the Encyclopedia of the New Deal and Great Depression, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2001.

"US Public Policy Towards a Dynamic Increasing Returns Industry" (Chapter 26). Handbook of Global Economic Policy, edited by Stuart S. Nagel, NY: Marcel Dekker, Inc., 2000.

"The Impact of Excise Taxes on State Finances in Michigan, Indiana and Ohio." Tax Research and Analysis Center Research Paper, November 1996.

With Dennis H. Melvin, "The Trended vs. Depreciated Original Cost Controversy: How Real Are the Real Returns?" Energy Law Journal, 12.2 (November 1991): 323-37.

"Why Fully Allocated Cost Does Not Die a Natural Death." Public Utilities Fortnightly, 124. 10 (9 November 1989): 24-27.


WORKING PAPERS

"Some Useful Methods for Measuring the Benefits of Social Science Research." Impact Assessment Discussion Paper No. 5, International Food Policy Research Institute, 1998, for eventual publication in a monograph on social science research policy.

"Measuring the Benefits of Policy-Oriented Social Science Research: Can We Get Beyond Subjectivity and Judgment?" The Institute of Public Policy Working Paper 96:8. The original paper was awarded a $2500 prize in IFPRI's international essay contest on measuring the benefits of social science research.

Dissertation: Empirical Complexity: A Study of Dynamic Increasing Returns in the Semiconductor Industry.

THE NEW BREWER, selected articles on the economics of the craft brewing industry:

"Industry Revealed." The New Brewer, 14.2 (March-April 1997): 11-14 (an evaluation of the 1996 statistical survey of the industry).

"Will What Made Milwaukee Famous Make a Winner Out of Portland?" The New Brewer 11.1 (January-February 1994): 26.

"Restaurant and Brewpub Statistics." The New Brewer 10.3 (May-June 1993): 29-31.

"An Economist's View of '92." The New Brewer 9.3 (May-June 1992): 31-32.

"Brewpub Economics." The New Brewer 9.2 (March-April 1992): 15-16.

"Life Cycle of the Brewpub (Part 2)." The New Brewer 8.1 (January-February 1991): 25-26.

"Life Cycle of the Brewpub (Part 1)." The New Brewer 7.4 (July-August 1990): 22-23.

"Beer Sales and the Business Cycle." The New Brewer 7.2 (March-April 1990): 19-21.

PUBLISHED BOOK REVIEWS

From Biology to Sociopolitics: Conceptual Continuity in Complex Systems by Heinz Herrmann. Emergence: A Journal of Complexity Issues in Organization and Management, 1.2 (1999): 170-2.

Global Competition Policy by Edward M. Graham and J. David Richardson (eds.). Society of Government Economists Bulletin (November 1998): npn.

Power Structure: Ownership Integration and Competition in the U.S. Electric Industry by John E. Kwoka, Jr. Managerial and Decision Economics, 19.2 (1998): 37.

The New Illustrated Guide to the American Economy: Second Edition by Herbert Stein and Murray Foss. Society of Government Economists Bulletin (January 1996): npn.

Institutional Economics Revisited by Shigeto Tsuru. Southern Economic Journal 61, (October 1994): 551-52.

States and the Economy: Policymaking and Decentralization by Robert H. Wilson. Society of Government Economists Bulletin (February 1994): npn.

An Analysis and History of Inflation by Don Paarlberg. Society of Government Economists Bulletin (April 1993): npn.

Regulatory Finance by H. E. Thompson. Southern Economic Journal 58 (April 1992): 1139-40.

Industrial Market Structure and Economic Performance: Third Edition by David Ross and F. M. Scherer. Society of Government Economists Bulletin (October 1991): npn.

TEACHING

Politics of urban government, George Mason University Public and International Affairs Department (for an accelerated bachelor's degree program), February, May, June 1999, February, December 2000.

Decision sciences (statistics) courses to undergraduate business majors, GMU School of Business Administration, January 1997 to August 1997.

PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATIONS

American Economic Association
Policy Studies Organization
Southern Economic Association


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