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| Weekend Report |
| July 3, 2005 |
Happy Independence Day!!!
The markets were kind of Blah last week
Volume seems to be evaporating
and it was not too high to begin with. We can blame the Holiday weekend
but its always something. And the Naz volume was almost 3% less than the equivalent week last year.
We got our expected bounce on Tuesday
But other than that there was not much to cheer about, although it is encouraging that we never closed below the 2045 support area. But then again, we couldnt bust through the 2075-2080 resistance area either. I believe that we are OK as long as the mid 2040s hold, but the technicals dont look that hot
.including the short term up/down volume ratio. Ill change my tune from mildly bullish to neutral for now unless we can get through 2080 on volume at which point I would be somewhat bullish. But I see a problem even with that as there is some resistance at 2090 and just under 2100.
EPS season will kick of late in the week
could make the summer be a bummer??? Watch for Same Store Sales (SSS) on Thursday too.
For the week, the Dow Super Sectors were 7 up 3 down led by Utilities again +2.49%.
Top DJ Groups were Full Line Insurance +6.15% Distillers & Vintners +4.95% Trucking +4.72%. The worst were Industrial Machinery -33.82% Paper -5.10% Internet -3.51%...However, The big drop in Industrial Machinery doesnt make sense since none of the components were down that much as far as I can tell
so further research is necessary on that group.
A/D/U Issues for the week:
Nasdaq 1949/1355/81
NYSE 2500/1010/80
AMEX 611/471/61
The NH/NL figures for all three of the above were positive AGAIN which I like to see. But the gap is closing.
The DJIA A/D/U was 13/17/0 led by BA and AIG both up over 4%. The DJ Composite was 45/19/1 and the Major DJ Groups were 77/23/0.
The IIC 100 and Undiscovered Gems lists have been updated for July
See the Table of Contents over to the left.
NEW
I have added two new pages at Mr. Breakout
A Daily Watch List Which Will Be Updated Five Times A Week And Some Great FREE Trial Offers To Stock Related Sites
You Will Find Them At The Top Of The Table Of Contents Over To The Left.
The stocks listed below are not recommendations. They are simply securities that meet particular criteria. If you find any of interest, you should do your own research.
Cup w/ Handles
UNFI FRC ABX SBTV CRZO RADN MTSC PRA TRGL NGAS STN
Flat Bases/Low Volume
WPS USS MDKI RTSX AHS TZIX WLP
50 dma moves upward through 200 dma
XL AGII SLXP NGAS PL SBUX
RSI(14) moves upward through 30
AOS SPPI SRI LEE CHKP DISK
RSI(14) moved upward through 50 AND an MACD crossover
GWW OPMR BKI HYSL BRL GRMN
Generally bullish short term technicals
ABX PRST CFR UFI
Extremely Oversold
INNO BTRX TWP RDWR
Friday's new highs, closed up on at least 2x ADV
NXY MLAN CSWC VUL EXBD AF TPY AMED SOLD PANL OCR EFH MMS CFK FFI MCF URGI
Sectors/Groups
Rather than sit here and type all this, Im just going to give you some sites so those who are interested can check them if you want to.
Top Groups on Friday
Worst Groups on Friday
You can view these at http://tal.marketgauge.com/MGHome/PHSReportsIndex.asp
Top Indices on Friday
Worst Indices on Friday
You can view these at http://americanbulls.com/Indices.asp
Top DJ Indices for the week
Worst DJ Indices for the week
You can view these at http://cbs.marketwatch.com/tools/industry/default.asp?siteid=mktw&bcind_ind=bc_top&bcind_period=1wk
You can change the timeframe if you wish.
Site Watch
Looking for Canslim type ideas? This site offers a great value: GabrielsMoneyPage.com
Thought you might like to take a look at a very useful site that I have subscribed to since Day One. I highly recommend it:
Stockciphering.com
Take a look at the front pages of 306 newspapers http://www.newseum.org/todaysfrontpages/
Many of you have asked me about ETFs
Well, Im not particularly interested in them but here is a blog you might want to check out http://www.etfinvestor.com
The Psychology Behind Common Investor Mistakes http://www.aaii.com/promo/evergreen/basics/jrnl200004p02.cfm
Weak Volume After The Breakout May Indicate A Vacuum Of Buyers http://biz.yahoo.com/ibd/050608/corner.html?.v=1
On Jesse Livermore And His Legacy http://www.safehaven.com/article-2862.htm
Historical Chart Gallery http://stockcharts.com/charts/historical
Visit my new site
http://OnlineBrokerDirectory.com
We now have over 670 Financial Site listings at
FinancialLinksOnline.com
Free Stock Market Forums
I am a member of 7 stock forums and 2 chat rooms
Actually I was a member of several more last year
But time is time so I have limited myself to those that are the best. I thought Id mention three that you might find beneficial:
ReedFloren.com
MrMarketIsHuge.com
MasteringTheMarkets.com
This 'N That
***TOL splits 2/1 at the close on Friday.
***Scrushy gets off despite 5 former CFOs pleading guilty and implicating him. Now he wants his old job back at HealthSouth. Well, IMO hes at least guilty of being incompetent.
***Im still reading Clean Sweep
the autobiography of Barry Minkow of ZZZZBest Carpet infamy. Pretty interesting guy
He started ripping people off at the age of 9.
*** China's CNOOC defends bid for Unocal http://trimurl.com/1MP
***Consumer Credit will be announced Friday
I expect a substantial increase. Same Store Sales are due out on Thursday for most retailers.
*** 3M to repatriate $1.7B in earnings http://money.cnn.com/2005/07/01/news/fortune500/3m.reut/index.htm
***Earnings Season May Give Markets Some Clarity After Week Dominated by High Oil Prices, Fed's Move http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/050703/wall_street_week_ahead.html?.v=2
However, Im expecting EPS reports to be generally lackluster for the 2nd quarter myself.
***Homeowners Deal With Rising Property Taxes http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/050703/property_tax_squeeze.html?.v=2
***Lets see
GM has the best sales record in June in the past 19 years with their Employee Discount offer. Sounds great
on the surface. But Im estimating (actually guesstimating) that the discount cost them about $70 million
I guess the more you sell the more you lose???
***U.S. Insistence on Controlling Internet's Main Traffic-Directing Computers Draws Fire http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/050702/internet_control.html?.v=1
***Total GDP by country http://www.worldbank.org/data/databytopic/GDP.pdf
***Good Sign? AAII Bullish Sentiment has dropped the last few weeks. Bearish has increased substantially as many of the neutrals apparently became negative.
***New Test Would Evaluate Internet Intelligence of College Students http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/050701/internet_intelligence.html?.v=2
***For $10,000, Woman Tattoos Ad on Forehead http://cnews.canoe.ca/CNEWS/WeirdNews/2005/06/30/1112158-ap.html
***A few winners in the 2nd Quarter:
NTRI +134%
MNTA +133%
PTC +106%...Interesting to note that PTC first appeared on the IIC 100 on March 6th at # 57. On April 13th it moved up to # 13, On May 8th it rose to # 4 and on June 5th # 1. It remains in the top spot for July.
***The big loser for the 2nd qtr
.ABRX -85%
***Briefings Weekly Wrap http://reuters.com/financeBriefing.jhtml?type=storyStocks
***Earnings Calendar: http://www.rightline.net/calendar/index.html
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Best To All,
Doug (IIC)
All information is obtained from sources considered to be reliable. However, we are not responsible for errors or omissions.
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